Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 10.964552 12.878814 14.976447 17.438682 20.242413 23.328131 26.973491
2025-04-20 8.214769 10.923211 14.207893 18.448778 23.739372 30.079264 38.204063
2025-04-27 6.695286 9.818924 13.917592 19.604590 27.192622 36.859101 49.976609
2025-05-04 5.471415 8.736186 13.318832 20.072874 29.595966 42.340308 60.436948
2025-05-11 4.447240 7.679525 12.503544 20.006921 31.111471 46.618397 69.505591
2025-05-18 3.604505 6.705864 11.609129 19.625106 32.022502 50.008699 77.480656
2025-05-25 2.940291 5.876351 10.779542 19.177390 32.703460 53.021099 85.026713
2025-06-01 2.411134 5.166651 10.017218 18.699645 33.225017 55.755860 92.264729
2025-06-08 1.912851 4.406985 9.041632 17.716562 32.790438 56.926246 97.132930
2025-06-15 1.739138 4.241111 9.089750 18.481069 35.275138 62.812948 109.640711
2025-06-22 1.541221 3.984657 8.926753 18.834483 37.066390 67.673527 120.783028
2025-06-29 1.293507 3.567485 8.387219 18.416247 37.445347 70.198354 128.254698
2025-07-06 1.021074 3.048709 7.597344 17.493481 36.962926 71.468214 134.163555
2025-07-13 0.935455 2.968249 7.728779 18.436631 40.074629 79.253646 151.734741
2025-07-20 0.871701 2.929202 7.944797 19.578512 43.670269 88.149237 171.784401
2025-07-27 0.772069 2.766551 7.849574 20.043805 45.977286 94.872148 188.428871
2025-08-03 0.657841 2.529023 7.532826 19.977491 47.199957 99.669877 201.914089
2025-08-10 0.547209 2.267236 7.105268 19.596082 47.721885 103.165438 213.217395
2025-08-17 0.452496 2.024404 6.677744 19.148924 48.045720 106.279191 223.968534
2025-08-24 0.372738 1.803789 6.264321 18.671789 48.243557 109.136724 234.374503
2025-08-31 0.291713 1.544831 5.685199 17.689973 47.206848 109.439507 239.893622
2025-09-07 0.270482 1.515199 5.777962 18.453494 50.210135 118.118672 262.095444
2025-09-14 0.241250 1.441001 5.719561 18.806453 52.284662 125.002301 281.113148